Strictly Protected Marine Areas Can Effectively Deter Most Industrial Fishing

TNC Science Brief

New research challenges the perception that illegal fishing is common in marine protected areas (MPA). Scientists have found that in most fully and highly protected MPAs, there is little to no industrial fishing at all.

The Gist

Scientists used artificial intelligence and satellite-based Earth observation to estimate industrial fishing activity where such fishing is banned. The approach bridges gaps in current monitoring methods and provides the most comprehensive picture to date on industrial activity within 1,380 fully and highly protected areas.

Published in Science, this research suggests that MPAs are working better than critics claim and undermines arguments to degazette MPAs due to perceived ineffectiveness. They found that, on average, MPAs had just one fishing vessel present per 20,000 km2 during the satellite overpass, and 25% of MPAs had no fishing vessels present 2017-2021.

Maps showing different ways researchers tracked industrial fishing.
Global map: This map shows two ways the researchers tracked industrial fishing activity over 2017-2021. The top panel uses signals from ships’ Automatic Identification System (AIS), which broadcast their location, speed, and identity. By analyzing these signals with artificial intelligence (AI), researchers can estimate where fishing is likely happening. However, some vessels turn off their AIS or don’t carry it at all. The bottom panel uses satellite-based radar (Synthetic Aperture Radar, or SAR) to spot these so-called “dark” vessels that would otherwise go undetected. SAR works by sending radar pulses to the ocean’s surface and measuring the reflections, allowing AI models to identify most vessels over 15 meters long even if they have no AIS. The map shows industrial fishing activity density estimated from AIS (average daily apparent fishing hours per 100 square kilometers) and the density of vessels detected by SAR (vessels per 100 square kilometers at the time of satellite flyovers). Points indicate the center of each marine protected area.

“For years,” says TNC scientist and research co-author Sara Orofino, “there has been a widespread perception that marine protected areas are being fished illegally. Our study shows that industrial fishing vessels in fully and highly protected marine areas are rare–occurring about nine times less frequently than in surrounding unprotected coastal waters.”

The Big Picture

Marine protected areas are a key tool for conservation and when well designed and enforced, MPAs can rebuild fish populations and safeguard marine habitats. But monitoring and enforcement of these protected areas remain longstanding challenges, contributing to the widespread perception that many MPAs are ‘paper parks’, boundaries that exist in law but where true protection is lacking.

Most of what is known about industrial fishing activity comes from Automatic Identification Systems (AIS), which broadcast vessel information including identity and position primarily as a safety measure to reduce collisions at sea. Using artificial intelligence, past research has analyzed vessel movements to estimate when and where fishing activity occurs. But limitations of AIS–it is not required on all vessels, transponders can be turned off, and signal reception is not reliable globally–make it unreliable as the sole source of information on fishing activity within protected area boundaries.

Great Barrier Reef: This image compares two methods for detecting industrial fishing activity (yellow points) in a small section of the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park in Australia (boundaries shown in white). The left panel shows vessel locations based on AIS transponder signals over 2017-21, while the right panel shows detections from Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR). Both data sources indicate high compliance with industrial fishing bans in this region.

This study uses emerging satellite-based Earth observation data (which can detect a majority of vessels over 15 meters) in addition to AIS to provide a more complete picture of fishing vessel activity within marine protected areas. The approach translates near real-time vessel detections from these complimentary data sources into actionable metrics of industrial fishing vessel density. This study demonstrates the viability of using satellite-based vessel detections as a monitoring tool and provides enforcement agencies with a cost-effective and scalable monitoring solution. 

The Takeaway

These results provide the most comprehensive picture to date of fishing vessels within the world’s most protected marine areas and provides evidence to challenge the perception that illegal fishing is widespread in MPAs.

“While our findings suggest that industrial vessels are largely absent from these protected marine areas,” notes Orofino, “they don’t tell us why. Further research is required to disentangle whether MPAs are effectively excluding industrial fishing vessels or if these MPAs were designated in low-demand areas where industrial fishing vessels aren’t present.”

These are important questions to answer as MPAs expand globally. The researchers note that efficient monitoring tools will be needed to support enforcement efforts and evaluate MPA effectiveness.

These kinds of tools, according to the paper, enhance monitoring not only within MPAs, but also in exclusive economic zones, artisanal fishing zones, and other space-time closures. Moreover, by increasing the likelihood of detecting illegal fishing, they create a deterrent effect. As the likelihood of detecting illegal fishing increases, the incentive to fish illegally decreases. As satellite technologies continue to improve, the capability to monitor even smaller vessels will further enhance effectiveness of these tools.

Read the Paper

Raynor, J., et al. (2025) Little-to-no industrial fishing occurs in fully and highly protected marine areas. Science