TNC Science Brief

New Map Shows Hotspots of Species Under Threat

a leopard walking
A leopard in South Africa. Photo © Craig McFarlane/TNC Photo Contest 2018

A new analysis identifies global hotspots where species are most threatened by human activity, providing a guide for conservationists to better protect wildlife by maximizing their effort and investment.

The Gist

Scientists have a good understanding of how human activity harms species. And a great deal of research has gone into mapping the extent of human influence on the Earth’s surface. But until now, the two had not been combined in an effective way.

“Previous research just overlaid threat maps and species ranges, but that doesn’t tell us how much of a species’ range is actually impacted by those threats,” says James Allan, a conservation scientist at the University of Queensland and lead author on the research.

The problem is that not every species is sensitive to every threat. Roads might harm amphibians, but have little impact on migratory birds. Poaching might severely threaten a particular mammal, while leaving other species unaffected.

Allan and his collaborators identified the human-caused threats that actually harm a species, and then mapped those threats only where they occur in that animal’s range. They repeated the process for 5,457 terrestrial vertebrates, building a global hotspot map of where species are most threatened by human activity.

They discovered that impacts to species are widespread, occurring across 84 percent of Earth’s surface. More than 1,200 species are impacted across greater than 90 percent of their range, while nearly 400 species are facing threats across their entire their range.

“These species have no space to hide,” says Allan. “They are being persecuted by people across their entire range, and their extinction is inevitable without conservation intervention.”

a map
Graphic © Allan, J.R, et al. (2019). PLOS Biology

The Big Picture

Allan’s research is not the first to sound the alarm for threatened species. Scientists have long observed that the current rate of species extinction is tens to hundreds of times higher than normal levels — and that human activity is the culprit. Hunting, harvesting, industrial activity, and the conversion of natural habitats for agriculture or urbanization are all laying waste to biodiversity.

A recent United Nations report concluded that 1 million plant and animal species face extinction — due to human activity — unless conservation efforts escalate rapidly. Many of those extinctions will occur within decades, and the overall rate of extinction will accelerate rapidly without further action.

a turtle on the road
A juvenile Leopard tortoise (Stigmochelys pardalis) crosses the road in Kafue National Park, Zambia. Photo © Karine Aigner / TNC

The Takeaway

With limited time and resources to save these species, conservationists must maximize their return on investment. “Our hotspot data can work out where an intervention will give you the biggest bang for your buck,” says Allan.

These results also pinpoint the most important refugia for threatened species, where conservationists can focus their efforts to prevent threats from taking hold. “For example, whatever way you slice and dice the data, the forests of Borneo are one of those places,” says Hugh Possingham, chief scientist at The Nature Conservancy and co-author on the research. “Nowhere else in the world is there such a high concentration of threatened animals in a place where there is still time to protect largely intact ecosystems.”

Beyond conservation, Allan’s analysis can also help the development sector better understand how their work in high-biodiversity areas impacts threatened species. “I want them to use this tool to think through the impacts of different development projects on species,” says Allan. “If the development community is really committed to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals, this is a crucial piece of conservation data they have been missing.”

Justine E. Hausheer

Justine E. Hausheer is an award-winning science writer for The Nature Conservancy, covering the innovative research conducted by the Conservancy’s scientists in the Asia Pacific region. She has a degree from Princeton University and a master's in Science, Health, and Environmental Reporting from New York University. Justine's favorite stories take her into pristine forests, desolate deserts, or far-flung islands to report on field research as it's happening. When not writing, you can find her traipsing after birds, attempting to fish, and exploring the wild places around her home in Brisbane, Australia. More from Justine

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